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KERİM BALCI k.balci@todayszaman.com Columnists

Elections in Britain and Turkey


The upcoming elections in Britain on May 5 are being followed at the most minimal level in Turkey. However, along with the United States, Britain is the key determining power in world politics, the biggest supporter of Turkey in the European Union (EU) process; the next EU term president; has the second strongest military and the greatest intellectual power to shape our neighbor, Iraq; a magnificent power with the right to say something on the historical realities of the Cyprus issue and Turkey will probably need its support on the Armenian issue. The elections that will be held on May 5 are not like the U.S. presidential elections, in which no matter who wins, everything remains the same.

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Commentators anticipating a last-minute surprise do not represent a negligible number in Britain, even though the ruling Labour Party and [Prime Minister] Tony Blair lead the their opponents in the polls, a few days before the elections. When the election campaign started, Blair's political star began to sink as a result of the Iraq quagmire. When Blair succeeded in shifting the agenda to the economy, tuition fees, problems in the health sector and the fight against crime and vandalism, most of the opposition parties dropped their arrows of criticisms as well. Furthermore, when the Conservative Party, which is the second largest political party in the country, brought the issues of immigration and the destructive effects of immigration to the agenda, it drew the wrath of the other opposition parties, and also the Liberal Democrats were accused of racism by the extreme leftists. However, going to the elections, it was expected that the Conservatives, headed by John Howard, who is of Jewish origin, would adopt exactly the opposite policy. Demanding immigrants and refugees face a series of integration processes, which would culminate in "cultural assimilation," Howard could not see that the social engineering measures he envisaged would destroy multi-cultural dough, which is peculiar to Britain.

No matter who wins the elections, it is so very obvious that the agenda during the campaign period will influence the direction of post-election policies. This means the British government that saw foreign policy as its main political maneuver area during the previous election period will now turn more to domestic politics, economic and social welfare implementations during the period after the elections. This is not a good development for Turkey that is awaiting crucial decisions on the EU process to be made during the term of the British presidency.

Commentators expect the Liberal Democratic Party to spring the greatest surprise in the May 5 elections, although it does not have the chance to clinch victory. Party leader Charles Kennedy is seemingly the most trusted candidate among all the leaders. Despite all that, maybe, the society prefers to support Blair, who is considered a "liar" by the people; however, there are some who claim that Kennedy will be able to change the two-party system, that has been going on in the country for centuries, in subsequent elections.

We should also mention two small parties that represent what the public says, although they will not be effective in determining the government. One of them is extreme-left Respect Party, headed by George Galloway, and the other is the extreme-right Veritas Party, where racist leader Robert Kilroy-Silk, is the only man. Galloway conducts politics based on minorities neglected by the government and has particularly succeeded in gaining the support of Muslims involved in reactionary politics. On the contrary, Kilroy-Silk demands that the country withdraw from the EU, accept immigrants only after they succeed in competence and quality tests and adaptation to very harsh laws against crime. Kilroy-Silk claims there is an unexpressed anti-foreigner drive within the essence of the British society and most people oppose the multi-culturalism in the country, and his party is clarifying the reality by mentioning this disguised enmity.

The color in British politics makes it both exciting and difficult to follow. However, politics bearing fruits that, on one hand, racism is being expressed under the canopy of democracy, and on the other, the unhappy Muslims are being used as tools for the domestic politics, would make the possibility of digesting Turkey that is waiting at the EU gates, very difficult. It is necessary for Turkish policy makers not to forget Britain's determining role on world politics.

May 2, 2005
London

03 May 2005, Tuesday
KERİM BALCI
   
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Columnists
ABDULHAMİT BİLİCİ
ABDULLAH BOZKURT
ALİ BULAÇ
ALİ H. ASLAN
AMANDA PAUL
ANDREW FINKEL
ASIM ERDİLEK
AYŞE KARABAT
BEJAN MATUR
BERİL DEDEOĞLU
BERK ÇEKTİR
BÜLENT KENEŞ
BÜLENT KORUCU
CHARLOTTE MCPHERSON
DOĞU ERGİL
EKREM DUMANLI
EMRE USLU
ETYEN MAHÇUPYAN
FATMA DİŞLİ ZIBAK
FİKRET ERTAN
GÜRKAN ZENGİN
HASAN KANBOLAT
HÜSEYİN GÜLERCE
İBRAHİM KALIN
İBRAHİM ÖZTÜRK
İHSAN DAĞI
İHSAN YILMAZ
KATHY HAMILTON
KERİM BALCI
KLAUS JURGENS
LALE KEMAL
MEHMET KAMIŞ
MICHAEL KUSER
MUHAMMED ÇETİN
MÜMTAZER TÜRKÖNE
NICOLE POPE
ÖMER TAŞPINAR
ORHAN KEMAL CENGİZ
PAT YALE
ŞAHİN ALPAY
SELÇUK GÜLTAŞLI
SUAT KINIKLIOĞLU
YAVUZ BAYDAR