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İBRAHİM KALIN i.kalin@todayszaman.com Columnists

Arab public opinion and the world system


Does public opinion matter in the Arab world? To an outsider, it may look like it does not. Most Arab countries are ruled by monarchies and authoritarian rulers. Public opinion is virtually nonexistent because it has no effect when it is not accompanied by democracy, free press and political transparency.

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But this is a simplistic picture of the Arab world. In reality, public opinion in the Arab world matters as much as anywhere else. Slowly but steadily, Arab public opinion is reshaping the political space in the Arab world. The future of Arab politics will be shaped by the increasingly dynamic and multifaceted public opinion.

There are already signs of this. Palestine is a case in point. Arab countries cannot ignore the public sentiment about Palestine. It is true that some regimes use Palestine as a smoke screen to keep the masses under control. They give fiery speeches about the plight of the Palestinians but do very little to ease it. But there is a limit to face-saving measures. When a disgruntled and distrustful public begins to raise serious questions about the legitimacy of their rulers, it goes beyond being a simple matter of opinion; it becomes a political reality.

Those who think the Arab world only cares about Palestine fail to see that the public debate in Arab countries extends to virtually all the major issues of the current international system. Yes, the Arabs feel more passionate about Palestine than any other issue because they see in Palestine their own mirror image, i.e., their own injustice, humiliation, misery and hopelessness. But they see Palestine also as a failure of the international system. It is the inability of the current world system to establish justice and the rule of law, many believe, that has led to where we are in Palestine, Iraq and Afghanistan. The same argument can be made in regard to other problem areas around the world.

This is what I call the internationalization of the Arab public opinion: Arabs no longer see their state of affairs as an isolated case. Instead, they first make a “world-system” analysis and then move into their specific cases. Watch Al Jazeera or the Doha Debates, surf the Arabic Internet or attend any major conference in the Arab world and you get a good dose of the analyses of global politics, power plays, emerging powers, economic interdependence, the failure of the big states, the rise of China and India and so on. This is a very different mode of looking at things than, say, the time of Gamal Abdel Nasser or Hafiz al-Assad, when Arab nationalism and pan-Arabism supplied the Arabs with a single-reference framework, which was a reified notion of Arabness. In a world of increasing globalization, such neat identities do not speak to the realities of the world. Arabs see the world more nuanced than through ethnicity and regionalism.

The debate about Turkey in the Arab world moves along the same lines. Arabs still have mixed feelings about the Turks. Varying degrees of intensity, love, respect, admiration, suspicion, mistrust and even dislike are part of the Arab perception of Turks today. But it is clear that the “Turk” is back in the Arab public debate. From the political elites and activists to civil servants and the media, Turkey is part of various analyses, comparisons and contrasts. Turkish foreign policy as well as soap operas, the history of Turks and Arabs as well as their future have become the fixed elements of daily conversation.

But Turkey is back not as a matter of ethnicity or religion but as part of the new debate about geopolitics and world-system analyses. The Justice and Development Party (AK Party) and its leader receive attention because they are perceived as a new force and as a new dynamic in the emerging world system. It is too simplistic to think that the current Turkish-Arabic love affair is a result of some old-fashioned regionalism or religious nationalism. What we are seeing is not simply emotions or historical nostalgia but a different way of looking at the world system. It is this aspect of the Arab public opinion that will reshape Arab politics in the years to come.

21 January 2010, Thursday
İBRAHİM KALIN
Comments on this article

astute american , Jan 22 2010 01:56, Friday
@Wolf:did someone just cry wolf. The fact is there is a new Middle East emerging and obviously it is not to your liking....
Musa , Jan 21 2010 18:18, Thursday
Nationalism has no place in the future of the Muslim world, except as the face of misery, humiliation, denigration. 'Ara...
Wolf , Jan 21 2010 09:21, Thursday
Yes in fact, Saudia Arabia is one of the most open and free countries in the world. Quite recently they even allowed wom...

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Columnists
ABDULHAMİT BİLİCİ
ABDULLAH BOZKURT
ALİ BULAÇ
ALİ H. ASLAN
AMANDA PAUL
ANDREW FINKEL
ASIM ERDİLEK
AYŞE KARABAT
BEJAN MATUR
BERİL DEDEOĞLU
BERK ÇEKTİR
BÜLENT KENEŞ
BÜLENT KORUCU
CHARLOTTE MCPHERSON
DOĞU ERGİL
EKREM DUMANLI
EMRE USLU
ETYEN MAHÇUPYAN
FATMA DİŞLİ ZIBAK
FİKRET ERTAN
GÜRKAN ZENGİN
HASAN KANBOLAT
HÜSEYİN GÜLERCE
İBRAHİM KALIN
İBRAHİM ÖZTÜRK
İHSAN DAĞI
İHSAN YILMAZ
KATHY HAMILTON
KERİM BALCI
KLAUS JURGENS
LALE KEMAL
MEHMET KAMIŞ
MICHAEL KUSER
MUHAMMED ÇETİN
MÜMTAZER TÜRKÖNE
NICOLE POPE
ÖMER TAŞPINAR
ORHAN KEMAL CENGİZ
PAT YALE
ŞAHİN ALPAY
SELÇUK GÜLTAŞLI
SUAT KINIKLIOĞLU
YAVUZ BAYDAR