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İBRAHİM KALIN i.kalin@todayszaman.com Columnists

The end of Western ascendancy?


Harvard historian Niall Ferguson describes the first decade of the 21st century as “the decade the world tilted east” (Financial Times, Dec. 27, 2009). It seems that the 500-year-old ascent of the West is in shackles. Traditional Western powers have given up on the idea of the empire.

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The modern descendants of the British, Spanish, Dutch and Portuguese empires are trying to figure out how to remain relevant and strong without the burdens of the empire. France and Germany never became empires, but they face the same dilemma. The last great empire of the West, the United States of America, is squandering the riches of what is probably the last empire of human history as we know it.

You may object: How about China? India? Russia? Will not they one day become an empire of sorts? I think not. The reason is not because they do not know about empire and imperialism. As Edward Said said of the British Empire in the 19th century, the “idea of the empire” is always more alluring than the empire itself because it empowers imperial masters, gives them a sense of identity, a sense of history. Some Americans call it “manifest destiny,” a global mission given by a combination of the forces of God, land and history. Any modern nation with a relative success of political power and finance can be lured into imperial adventures.

The reason why we will not see new empires in the foreseeable future is because the zeitgeist of global politics dictates that power, greatness, wealth, supremacy, authority and legitimacy be measured not by the “hard instruments” of old empires such as the size of the land or the army one has but by a mixture of hard and soft elements of the newly emerging global order. Power is still built on and around amassing land, building big armies, using cheap labor, colonizing political and economic centers and adopting a sort of cultural imperialism. But for power to be sustainable and affordable, it needs other measures such as legitimacy, efficiency and public opinion at a global scale. Furthermore, the cost of being an empire is getting bigger and bigger. Ironically, it is the empire that is putting an end to itself.

Max Weber’s question as to why of all the nations on earth a handful of Western European nations began to dominate the world in 1500 remains captivating to this day. The scientific and industrial revolutions could have happened in other parts of the world such as the Muslim world, which had a more advanced science than Europe up until the 15th century. It also had a well-functioning global economic system where money and commodities flew in all directions. But modern capitalism and the world system emerged in Western Europe, giving it a decisive advantage over the rest of the world.

Ferguson identifies six elements that have led to the emergence of the modern Western world system: “The capitalist enterprise, the scientific method, a legal and political system based on private property rights and individual freedom, traditional imperialism, the consumer society and what Weber probably misnamed the ‘Protestant’ ethic of work and capital accumulation as ends in themselves.” Some of these existed in some other parts of the world. But it was only in Western Europe that they came together to form a paradigm, a framework of power and a system of ideology.

What is changing now? Why do we all have the impression that Western dominance is coming to an end? Is it because the West is losing the foundational elements of world dominance which Ferguson cites above? We will have to wait a little longer to answer these questions with a reasonable degree of accuracy. While the notion that the West is in crisis has some truth to it, it is not proof that the West cannot get out of this crisis.

Great powers may find a way to reclaim their past glory. But what will come back will not be old Europe or old America. All empires reach their peak when they have creative energy, movement of ideas and commodities and a well-functioning pluralism whereby they attract the cream of the crop to their political, scientific and intellectual centers. Europe no longer effuses the kind of energy it had in the 18th and 19th centuries. America is becoming a big question mark in the mind of many. All possible contenders to “greatness” take note of it.

But will they be wise enough not to fall into the folly of other empires? That is the question that will decide the future of great power play in the 21st century.

31 December 2009, Thursday
İBRAHİM KALIN
Comments on this article

Bill , Dec 31 2009 17:41, Thursday
The answer to your question is that the "West" is not losing anything. Everyone else is simply adopting Western methods...
wolf , Dec 31 2009 10:27, Thursday
Economists sometimes points out that it is very easy to catch up with the No 1, since investments can be spent on immita...

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Columnists
ABDULHAMİT BİLİCİ
ABDULLAH BOZKURT
ALİ BULAÇ
ALİ H. ASLAN
AMANDA PAUL
ANDREW FINKEL
ASIM ERDİLEK
AYŞE KARABAT
BEJAN MATUR
BERİL DEDEOĞLU
BERK ÇEKTİR
BÜLENT KENEŞ
BÜLENT KORUCU
CHARLOTTE MCPHERSON
DOĞU ERGİL
EKREM DUMANLI
EMRE USLU
ETYEN MAHÇUPYAN
FATMA DİŞLİ ZIBAK
FİKRET ERTAN
GÜRKAN ZENGİN
HASAN KANBOLAT
HÜSEYİN GÜLERCE
İBRAHİM KALIN
İBRAHİM ÖZTÜRK
İHSAN DAĞI
İHSAN YILMAZ
KATHY HAMILTON
KERİM BALCI
KLAUS JURGENS
LALE KEMAL
MEHMET KAMIŞ
MICHAEL KUSER
MUHAMMED ÇETİN
MÜMTAZER TÜRKÖNE
NICOLE POPE
ÖMER TAŞPINAR
ORHAN KEMAL CENGİZ
PAT YALE
ŞAHİN ALPAY
SELÇUK GÜLTAŞLI
SUAT KINIKLIOĞLU
YAVUZ BAYDAR