Some claim the incidents taking place in Iran now were masterminded by Western countries, while others say they are an inevitable result of the Iranian people's demand for change. However, the prospect of regime change seems unlikely to all.Bugün's Erhan Başyurt interprets the ongoing unrest in Iran as a polarization between the conservatives and reformists, saying the opposition, which finds President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad incompetent as a leader, wants the public vote to be reflected in the election results. “Some of the demonstrators in Iran may be against the regime or demand more freedom. In addition, there could be some longing for a counter-revolution among those lending support to the opposition, but it is impossible for such a revolution to take place in Iran with the current leadership at the moment. We can perhaps talk about a democratic Islamic Republic of Iran,” says Başyurt.
Milliyet's Sami Kohen says it was a twist of fate for 67-year-old Mousavi, who ran against Ahmadinejad in the election, to turn into a symbol or hero of a public movement because Mousavi was a politician who actively supported the revolution that took place in the country in 1979. He says Mousavi initially opposed the election results and accused rival Ahmadinejad of rigging the election. He was backed by millions of people who voted for him for being a reformist. When his supporters took to the streets, Mousavi suddenly became the leader of a large public movement as well as a figure he could not even dream of becoming, says Kohen. “Now, Mousavi's dilemma is how and to what extent he will continue to assume this new role. If he only wants to fight Ahmadinejad and cuts the support he provides the demonstrators, he will have lost all his trump cards and become a low-profile figure. If he continues to support his followers and encourages demonstrations, he may encounter the wrath of Iran's deep state,” comments Kohen.
According to Akşam's Hüsnü Mahalli, the Western press is incorrectly reading the course of political developments in Iran because the opposition leader is not talking about changing the current system in the country, as they claim, but wants more freedom and democracy for the people. “Events in Iran are unfolding contrary to the expectations of the Western media. If no extraordinary developments take place, those sharing the political and religious power in the country will reach a consensus in a short time, and there will be heated but very silent debates that will determine the future of Iran after this compromise. After all, Iran will remain an Islamic republic in the short and medium term despite the possibility of democratization and freedom,” says Mahalli.
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