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KERİM BALCI k.balci@todayszaman.com Columnists

Future of Hamas


The summit of Palestinian groups that was held in Cairo last week ended with a pledge to maintain the current calm for the time being. Accordingly, Hamas, the Islamic Jihad and other groups affiliated with the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) have suspended attacks against Israel. This undeclared truce, not tied to any specific timeframe, is of course linked to conditions that Israel stop its counterattacks, halt the demolition of homes and release Palestinian prisoners of war. It is already known that Israel had unilaterally accepted these conditions. What can be seen is that on the Israeli-Palestinian front in the Middle East, there is a relatively calm spell.

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Let's look at what will change in Israel and Palestine during this period of relative calm. The most important decision that emerged from the Cairo Summit was not the "truce." It was decided that the Islamic Jihad and Hamas will join the PLO. The organization, which up till today, has admitted only secular parties and organizations, will also include Islamic parties in the body for the first time. Hamas, agreeing to tow the line, decided to participate in all local and national elections that will be held from now on. As is already known, Khalid Meshal, who is seen as the representative of the organization's political wing, has declared that the group favors abandoning armed struggle and starting a political struggle.

Hamas means " Harakat Muqawama Islamiyya", (Islamic Resistance Movement)[consists of Muslims who are devoted to Allah and worship Him verily, Ihvan-i Muslimiin.]. It is very important that at a summit in Egypt, where Egyptian officials read the final communique, Hamas was legitimized. This means sooner rather than later, Arab regimes may once again integrate Islamic parties into the political system.

The side that will really be affected by Hamas joining the PLO is Israel. Because, though it is said to have died several times, it is the Oslo Accords that really determine the general structure of the Israeli- Palestinian negotiations, hence, the official counterpart of Israel is not the Palestinian Authority but the PLO. As a matter of fact, it is PLO that was internationally recognized and granted an observer status at the UN. By being members of the PLO, Hamas and the Islamic Jihad will both be parties in the negotiations and will also be part of the international representation of the Palestinian nation.

I am leaving the answer-finding task and what the response of those who had for years supported Hamas terrorist activities, claiming, "there is no other way but suicide attacks," would be, to other people. Time alone will tell whether Hamas will undergo this process without falling apart or whether it will take over control of the Palestinian Authority. The first echoes of attempts by Hamas and the Islamic Jihad becoming politicized will manifest themselves in the decision that will surface at the Arab Summit in the upcoming days. The comprehensive peace proposal, that was prepared by the heir to the Saudi throne, Crown Prince Abdullah, and which contains the remarks, "relations with Israel will return to normal without going back to the pre-1967 borders," will probably be accepted and a new chapter will be opened in Arab-Israeli relations in the Middle East.

March 21, 2005
London

22 March 2005, Tuesday
KERİM BALCI
   
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Columnists
ABDULHAMİT BİLİCİ
ABDULLAH BOZKURT
ALİ BULAÇ
ALİ H. ASLAN
AMANDA PAUL
ANDREW FINKEL
ASIM ERDİLEK
AYŞE KARABAT
BEJAN MATUR
BERİL DEDEOĞLU
BERK ÇEKTİR
BÜLENT KENEŞ
BÜLENT KORUCU
CHARLOTTE MCPHERSON
DOĞU ERGİL
EKREM DUMANLI
EMRE USLU
ETYEN MAHÇUPYAN
FATMA DİŞLİ ZIBAK
FİKRET ERTAN
GÜRKAN ZENGİN
HASAN KANBOLAT
HÜSEYİN GÜLERCE
İBRAHİM KALIN
İBRAHİM ÖZTÜRK
İHSAN DAĞI
İHSAN YILMAZ
KATHY HAMILTON
KERİM BALCI
KLAUS JURGENS
LALE KEMAL
MEHMET KAMIŞ
MICHAEL KUSER
MUHAMMED ÇETİN
MÜMTAZER TÜRKÖNE
NICOLE POPE
ÖMER TAŞPINAR
ORHAN KEMAL CENGİZ
PAT YALE
ŞAHİN ALPAY
SELÇUK GÜLTAŞLI
SUAT KINIKLIOĞLU
YAVUZ BAYDAR