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KLAUS JURGENS klaus.jurgens@gmail.com Columnists

Political geography in Turkey -- the sunshine belt versus the heartland (2)


There was a tight race for İstanbul on election night in March 2009; Kemal Kılıcdaroğlu of the Republican People's Party (CHP) came close to taking the helm from the Justice and Development Party's (AK Party) Kadir Topbaş.

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İstanbul is the jewel in the crown of political targets. It sets trends, is buzzing with life and economic activity and would rightly deserve the title the Pearl on the Bosporus. Many more citizens migrated to İstanbul than went to such cities as İzmir, Ankara or Antalya. Winning in İstanbul was a must-have in 2009, particularly due to its diverse voter base.

Let us again travel further south to reach İzmir. A swing of more than 20 percent of the vote in İzmir seems impossible; hence, the CHP will retain a stronghold for years to come. İzmir is a success story in itself and shows that local politicians can deliver regardless of which party they represent or belong to. Without promoting tourism, having an international airport, direct foreign investment, free trade zones and a cosmopolitan feel, İzmir would not be what it is today. Can it be that some local politicians may have better strategies than those at party headquarters?

Last stop: "The cradle of history," oft forgotten and neglected by most political parties, who now realize that their voter appeal in the southeast of the country is close to zero -- except for the AK Party -- although the prime minister's Midas touch did not work out as envisaged. Election managers and fellow citizens must understand that this part of the nation is another highly traditional part. Despite the success of the Southeastern Anatolia Project (GAP), which aimed at improving rural and urban infrastructure, over there voters seem more "traditional," too. Promoting tourism, organic agriculture and helping more small and medium-sized enterprises open up for business will perhaps re-shape that impression. The cradle of history will soon become the eastern border of an enlarged European Union and will carry geopolitical weight, too. I haven't even touched upon the energy relevance of the region.

I intended to provide a snapshot, and of course had to add a few personal observations. What I realized is that Turkey has a diverse political landscape or "political geography," and one has to travel to its regions and towns to really understand who votes for which party and why. Not all is as it seems, and one visit for sure is not enough. Most importantly we have to talk to the people -- we may not always like what we see or hear, but that is democracy. You need time, too; let me take you back to Çorum, where I worked advising a local company. Over there, business and employment are the key issues, much less so which political party you represent. The local hotel doubles as a meeting place for politicians, businesspeople and guests alike -- just ask the hairdresser in that hotel, and you will get all the details. Feeling the pulse of voters is a fascinating exercise which I highly recommend to all of our readers who are really interested in understanding this country. We do not have to be as professional as Peter Kellner, for example, a leading UK pollster; just going to towns and listening, not talking, is the best methodology.

Why did I only write about two political parties: to help our foreign readers put local results into perspective and to highlight that there is a system of government and opposition -- of course, duly changing between either one -- in a state of evolution which may last for years, if not decades, to come. In another article, I will come back to the topic of elections, although this time, writing about the link between Turkish local sentiments and future European elections.

06 May 2009, Wednesday
KLAUS JURGENS
   
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Other Articles of the Columnist

  Political geography in Turkey -- the sunshine belt versus the heartland (2)
  Political geography in Turkey -- the sunshine belt versus the heartland (1)
  First Cyprus, now Armenia: Could the EU err again?
  Cyprus: Entering calmer waters or preparing for renewed polarization?
  Recent arrests in the Ergenekon case -- not at all surprising
  Turkey and NATO: clever diplomacy or ill-fated balancing act?
  Before Barack Obama’s arrival: What young Americans expect from Turkey
  Food for thought: promoting Turkey in London
  Local elections and their cultural dimension
  Would emperors take the train? The importance of March 13, 2009
  Pakistan: Why ‘war on terror’ is the wrong terminology
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  On Mr. Baykal in Brussels and a future Turkish constitution
  İstanbul: a political view from the Bosporus
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  Davos 2009: spin doctors’ paradise or showing common sense?
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Columnists
ABDULHAMİT BİLİCİ
ABDULLAH BOZKURT
ALİ BULAÇ
ALİ H. ASLAN
AMANDA PAUL
ANDREW FINKEL
ASIM ERDİLEK
AYŞE KARABAT
BEJAN MATUR
BERİL DEDEOĞLU
BERK ÇEKTİR
BÜLENT KENEŞ
BÜLENT KORUCU
CHARLOTTE MCPHERSON
DOĞU ERGİL
EKREM DUMANLI
EMRE USLU
ETYEN MAHÇUPYAN
FATMA DİŞLİ ZIBAK
FİKRET ERTAN
GÜRKAN ZENGİN
HASAN KANBOLAT
HÜSEYİN GÜLERCE
İBRAHİM KALIN
İBRAHİM ÖZTÜRK
İHSAN DAĞI
İHSAN YILMAZ
KATHY HAMILTON
KERİM BALCI
KLAUS JURGENS
LALE KEMAL
MEHMET KAMIŞ
MICHAEL KUSER
MUHAMMED ÇETİN
MÜMTAZER TÜRKÖNE
NICOLE POPE
ÖMER TAŞPINAR
ORHAN KEMAL CENGİZ
PAT YALE
ŞAHİN ALPAY
SELÇUK GÜLTAŞLI
SUAT KINIKLIOĞLU
YAVUZ BAYDAR