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İBRAHİM ÖZTÜRK i.ozturk@todayszaman.com National

Toward new momentum in economics: facts and figures for Turkey


In my view, the first major period of expansion in the Turkish economy has concluded with significant success.

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However, macroeconomic indicators since 2006 have shown quite convincingly that a new path with a fresh policy outlook and massive reform efforts is required for the continuation of this expansion.

Turkey's relationship and revised program with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in 2008 and thereafter will be symbolic of this change in the Turkish course. The IMF program followed since the 2001 crisis was a major stabilization program designed to achieve sustainable growth in a sound macroeconomic environment. This period is about to be completed with significant success. In the coming era, however, Turkey's relationship with the IMF will not be mandatory and the IMF's role will transition into that of a light monitoring program so as to keep the IMF as a yardstick and an anchor in case of any major global or domestic turbulence. Moreover, the IMF will continue to be an anchor for the continuation of major structural reforms.

As we look at the recent past, we can conclude that the latest IMF program has been quite successful in reaching its major targets. Two main figures are supplied below to demonstrate Turkey's transformation. The first figure shows that there has been a tremendous rise in the industrial production index and a significant decline in interest rates and the inflation rate. The second figure reveals that such success was based upon real achievements in productivity. New challenges as well as opportunities are waiting for us in the new year.


02 January 2008, Wednesday
İBRAHİM ÖZTÜRK
   
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Other Articles of the Columnist

  Toward new momentum in economics: facts and figures for Turkey
  Opportunities and risks lying ahead in 2008
  Supply side measures for growth and disinflation in Turkey
  Farewell to the model
  Turkey in 2007: Long-term potential balances short-term failures
  Costs of the slowdown in the economy
  Energy to determine future of Turkish economy
  Lessons for Turkey from the history of economic development
  Impositions prevent peace and reform in Middle East
  Past in our present: Lessons for Turkey in global integration (I)
  Short-term CPI targets missed; let’s keep medium-term targets
  Forecasting the next year of Turkey’s economy
  Evaluating the quality of the AK Party’s new action plan
  Central Bank credibility on the rise
  Emerging new issues in the economy
  Growth via surge in productivity: The new magnet for competition
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Columnists
ABDULHAMİT BİLİCİ
ABDULLAH BOZKURT
ALİ BULAÇ
ALİ H. ASLAN
AMANDA PAUL
ANDREW FINKEL
ASIM ERDİLEK
AYŞE KARABAT
BEJAN MATUR
BERİL DEDEOĞLU
BERK ÇEKTİR
BÜLENT KENEŞ
BÜLENT KORUCU
CHARLOTTE MCPHERSON
DOĞU ERGİL
EKREM DUMANLI
EMRE USLU
ETYEN MAHÇUPYAN
FATMA DİŞLİ ZIBAK
FİKRET ERTAN
GÜRKAN ZENGİN
HASAN KANBOLAT
HÜSEYİN GÜLERCE
İBRAHİM KALIN
İBRAHİM ÖZTÜRK
İHSAN DAĞI
İHSAN YILMAZ
KATHY HAMILTON
KERİM BALCI
KLAUS JURGENS
LALE KEMAL
MEHMET KAMIŞ
MICHAEL KUSER
MUHAMMED ÇETİN
MÜMTAZER TÜRKÖNE
NICOLE POPE
ÖMER TAŞPINAR
ORHAN KEMAL CENGİZ
PAT YALE
ŞAHİN ALPAY
SELÇUK GÜLTAŞLI
SUAT KINIKLIOĞLU
YAVUZ BAYDAR