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Undecided gravitate toward ‘yes' in referendum, polls indicate
According to the GENAR poll, conducted between Aug. 30 and Sept. 5, the referendum will see a turnout rate of 88 percent, of which 53.8 percent will say “yes” to the changes while 46.2 will say “no.”
The survey was conducted across 31 provinces, including İstanbul, Ankara and Erzurum, and 99 districts of the provinces surveyed. According to another poll conducted by the same company between July 31 and Aug. 8, 84 percent of Peace and Democracy Party (BDP) voters will vote in favor of the changes, despite a call by the party to boycott the referendum.
A total of 96.6 percent of Justice and Development Party (AK Party) voters will vote in favor of the package. The Republican People’s Party (CHP) has been campaigning against the referendum, but 5 percent of its voters will vote in favor of the package while 81 percent of the Nationalist Movement Party’s (MHP) voters will vote against it. The MHP has also assumed a “no” stance on the referendum.
The poll asked those surveyed who they would vote for if the referendum on Sunday were a general election. A full 43.4 percent said they would vote for the AK Party while those who said they would vote for the CHP came in at 27.8 percent. The MHP’s votes appear to be around 13.3 percent according to current trends, while 3.9 percent said they would vote for the BDP. The Felicity Party’s (SP) votes were measured at 3.4 percent.
On a regional basis, “yes” votes appeared to be outdoing “no” votes in every area except for the Aegean and Mediterranean regions.
The poll also measured attitudes toward the referendum along gender lines. More women than men are inclined to say “no.” The survey also found that the lower the income and education level of those polled, the more likely that they would vote “no.”
According to a poll by Andy-Ar, whose results were published yesterday, “yes” votes will come in at 57.4 percent in Sunday’s referendum. The poll, conducted between Sept. 1 and Sept. 6 across 25 provinces with 4,743 people surveyed, found that those who were undecided in August are now gravitating toward supporting the package, which contributes to the higher percentage of yeses this poll has measured. The survey found 42.6 percent planning to vote “no.”
Like GENAR’s poll, Andy-Ar’s poll also finds that the southern and western coastal regions plan to vote “no,” while the Black Sea region and the heartland of Anatolia will be voting for the package. This poll also finds that 84.6 percent of BDP voters will support the package.
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