The visit comes ahead of a rare meeting of the Workers’ Party (WPK), which rubber stamps major policy decisions in the North. Analysts say the assembly could set in motion the succession of the leader’s son, Kim Jong-un.“Kim Jong-il is travelling through China by train, but we have no information as to whether his son is accompanying him,” a presidential source told Reuters. A South Korean foreign ministry source said there was evidence that both Kim and his son were in China. Kim, his iron rule underpinned by a personality cult, rarely travels abroad. But this would be the second time since May that he has gone to China on which he depends to prop up his country’s failing economy.
When he does travel, he always goes by private train and is thought to be terrified of flying.
There is widespread speculation that Kim is in poor health following a suspected stroke in 2008 and some analysts say he may be in a hurry to establish his son’s succession to the family dynasty that has ruled North Korea since its founding after World War II.
Daniel Pinkston, a specialist on Korean affairs in Seoul with the International Crisis Group, said a visit was most likely connected to next month’s WPK meeting. ”There is so much circumstantial evidence pointing to the succession issue. And there are other signs that they are hurting for cash aid and assistance. The two things are not mutually exclusive. ”If the succession is being accelerated, then of course Kim has an incentive to address the economic problems and other issues which will be helpful for his son in the transition to taking power.” China’s foreign ministry had no immediate comment on his reported visit.
A policewoman at the Chinese border town of Ji’an said: “Some leader came yesterday,” but declined further comment on reports that the two Kims had travelled there on Wednesday night.
Cai Jian, an expert on Korea at Fudan University in Shanghai expressed a degree of scepticism over the reported trip. ”North Korea does not need China’s blessing or approval for succession plans, but Kim may feel he should inform China of his plans. ”China has made it clear that it is very concerned about maintaining stability and close contacts with North Korea, and it would be concerned to know that any future leader also attaches much importance to relations with China. But this is not about seeking China’s agreement, it’s about informing China.
