In the afternoon session, the İMKB continued to rise by 0.03 percent. “The reason [for the market's rise] is really quite simple: Bond yields continue to decline and last week's inflation figures remain bright,” said Murat Berk, a senior Yapı Kredi analyst.
“Last week's inflation figures were very bright. It automatically means that the central bank will decrease interest by another 50 basis points.” He also said this kept the door open for a further rate cut in October. “The inflation outlook remains bright, which translates into lower interest rates, which translates into better market performance.”
Externally, the İMKB was not affected by dynamics affecting first US markets and then Asian and European ones: better than expected US jobless data, positive European corporate news and a G20 decision to continue stimulus spending.
“External factors always play a role, but it's impossible to say how much,” said Berk.
The central bank held a six-month TL-denominated bond auction today with an average compound interest rate of 8.41 percent. During afternoon trading, $1 was trading at TL 1.487. In a related development, according to figures released by the İMKB, the share of foreign investors in Turkey's main stock market fell to 66.50 percent, TL 71.8 billion. On Aug. 28, the share of foreign investors in the İMKB was 66.77 percent.
Elsewhere in the world, investors jumped back into equities on Monday, sending world stocks close to their highest level for the year, while the dollar weakened against a basket of currencies as demand for risky assets rose across the board.
US jobs data and a weekend agreement by the G20 to keep economic stimuli running helped drive risk appetite. The meeting bolstered the view that interest rates will remain low, sending two-year euro zone government bond yields to historic lows.
The MSCI's all-country world stock index, a benchmark for professional investors, rebounded 1 percent after a rare week of losses, and is only a few points off a year high reached in late August. The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index added 1.4 percent, reversing losses from the previous week, on expectations of mergers and acquisitions. Japan's Nikkei closed 1.3 percent higher while emerging market equities were up about the same.
Wall Street was closed for the Labor Day holiday. "The current equity rally has further to go," Morgan Stanley said in a note. "A growth cycle is starting, we intend to buy on weakness." The Group of 20 finance ministers and central bankers said over the weekend they would not remove economic stimulus until the global recovery was well entrenched.
US jobs data on Friday was mixed, but showed smaller-than-expected job losses. Notwithstanding Monday's gains, equity markets have been pulling back somewhat from the sharp rally that began in March. The world index lost nearly 1.5 percent last week, the first decline in eight weeks and only the fifth since the rally began.
Some degree of risk aversion -- and a weaker dollar -- was evident on the gold market. Spot gold gained 4 percent last week and is currently trading around $994 an ounce.
Two-year euro zone government bond yields slipped to historic lows on the view that interest rates will stay low for longer than some had expected following comments from the weekend's G20 meeting.
The two-year Schatz yield briefly slipped to a euro lifetime low of 1.069 percent. It was later at 1.096 percent. The 10-year yield was at 3.244 percent.
The dollar and yen were generally weaker with the former down close to a third of a percent against a basket of major currencies.
The Australian dollar hit its strongest level against the dollar in a year as shares gained after a G20 pledge to keep economic stimulus packages in place.
"The G20 was positive for risk appetite, you can see that from the yen and dollar's performance. At the same time people are still a bit cautious as we are approaching the end of this policy cycle," said Geoffrey Yu, a currency strategist at UBS.
Against the yen, the dollar was flat to slightly weaker at 92.94 yen. The euro gained 0.4 percent to $1.4344, near a one week high but still below August's eight-month high at $1.4448.
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