Possibility of war, Iran and NATO
 
 
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21 May 2013 Tuesday
 
 
 
 
 
 
Columnists 10 October 2012, Wednesday 18 0 0 0
HÜSEYİN GÜLERCE
h.gulerce@todayszaman.com

Possibility of war, Iran and NATO

The Baath regime panicked when the winds of the Arab Spring arrived in Syria. What had happened to Muammar Gaddafi in Libya influenced Bashar al-Assad. As conflict loomed in Syria, Turkey took preventive measures. Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu made frequent visits to Syria to ensure that it would not become another Libya. He suggested general elections. He was insistent on a solution based on the will of the people. However, the Syrian deep state did not consider leaving; they threw their weight behind Assad and started killing people. Since that time, around 30,000 people have died, while thousands of others have sought refuge in neighboring countries, including Turkey.

Why hasn't the dictatorial administration in Syria fallen? It has not fallen because the US and the EU have remained indifferent to the problem. Turkey did not have this option; it was forced to take action for both humanitarian and security reasons. Consequently, Turkey's faults have attracted attention around the world. But in the end, it was left alone in this matter.

It is also true to say that nobody was supporting Libya, but Syria has been backed by two UN Security Council members, China and Russia. And, most importantly, Iran supplies arms to Syria. Those who criticize Turkey's support of the opposition forces ignore the fact that Iran has been supplying arms through Iraq to the Syrian regime.

We are not fully aware of the alliances and considerations between global actors occurring in the Syrian issue, and the invisible politics have had greater influence than the visible activity in international relations. You cannot know what Israel, the US, Germany, Iran and Syria are doing behind the scenes.

Turkey is one of the most important states in the future of the region and in international affairs, a rising star in the Turkic world and the Muslim world, a key country for the attainment of global peace. If Turkey makes progress, the Turkic world, the Muslim world and also African nations will become more prosperous. This changes the balance in terms of peace in a world suffering from wars, exploitation, hunger and injustice. But do the US, the West, Russia and China want such a balance, with Turkey in a key role?

It has become evident that the American policy of intervention in Iraq was based on a lie: Saddam Hussein did not have nuclear weapons that posed a threat to international security. And what was the result? Iraq fell under the control of Iran. Since that time, American foreign policy, which seems to be waging a war against Iran, has strengthened Iran's position in the region -- and I am wondering if this in fact fulfills the desires of the Israeli lobby, entailing as it does the decline of Turkey in the region. An Israeli or Western intervention in Iran would make Turkey the strongest actor in the region, and the question is whether this is a desired outcome for the rest of the world. With this in mind, a clash between Turkey and Iran over Syria is a greater possibility than intervention in Iran.

The issue is not the removal of the regime in Syria. A power struggle is occurring in the most strategically important region in the world; and the real issue in this situation is the development of plans to prevent the rise of Turkey. Turkey and Iran should not confront each other. Iran should prevent Syria's grave provocations. Syria will not be able to fire a single mortar into Turkish lands without the support of Iran, and Turkey will not retaliate unless Syria fires a bullet, so such a system would eliminate the possibility of a war.

Iran will be responsible if tension escalates due to the provocations of Syria. Those who made sure that Muslim countries (Iran and Iraq) went to war in the past would not hesitate to do the same this time around. We should consider the NATO secretary-general's statement expressing support for Turkey as constructive, but we should also question its sincerity. War is not in the best interests of Iran, Turkey, Syria or Iraq, but stating that you are opposed to war is not an alternative to expressing what it is you do want.

I wish a prime minister of this country had tended to the creation of a national defense industry five decades ago. That way, we would not need the help and support of Israel and the US in the field of defense and in the fight against terrorism.

COMMENTS
You know it, I know it and they know it that all this is designed against Turkey. Not against Iran or Syria. All that we see today in the region did not happen by itself. It was made to happen. It did not happen overnight. The Western powers planned it over years. I was in Europe and felt the intens...
sigia
Bashar al-Asadd did not go because one part of the Syrian people are supporting him and his regime.Turkish government made the vital mistake by ending the talks with Essad considering that he would go as the others which show the intelligence weakness (information) of Turkey about her neighbor. It s...
Our neigbor
i don't understand something.... you say Israel does not want turkey to be the regional power.. so they get america to bomb iran (the current regional power) thus making turkey the regional power. How exactly does this fulfill the great aspirations of the all mighty israeli lobby? has the arab spr...
confused
You have a twisted brain .The Bath Party is the Arab spring and the Arabs hope ,What happened to Kharadafi is what going to happen to greedy Oil Billionaires of Arabian Sheikhdoms , plus Turkey ...NATO can not put a foot in Asia without losing all of its toes ,invest few KURUSH and ...
Esfandyar
Isreal is mentioned because it is at the back of all problems in the Middle East. All the dictators in the Middle East were and are supported by the west just so Israel can maintain its dominent position.
Tana
Turkey is the successor state of the Sublime Ottoman Empire, which was loved by Muslims everywhere. Turkey must not become another puppet state. Turkey must not fight its neighbours to please imperialists. Turkey must develop its own defense industry. And Turkey must work together with Iran to bring...
Shams
how come, you always find ways to drag Israel into any international conflict? what's this obssession with israel? how can israel be related to Syria? what's the affinity between Israeli supposedly attack on Iran and Turkey-Syria relations? why can't you just deal bravely with criticism and with you...
proud jew
Hundred percent correct. In EU and America no body wants fall of Iran or Syria but they want fall of Turkey. Do not go for direct war.
Asif Reyaz
Turkish FM Davuoglu insisted on a solution to Bashar al-Assad based on the will of people? That is classic coming from the FM of a totalitarian military state. The Syrian deep state started killing people? You mean just like the Turkish deep state, sanctioned by the Turkish government, was killing i...
Ararat
The main point that rings very true and what Turkey has to work through is the plot "An Israeli or Western intervention in Iran would make Turkey the strongest actor in the region, and the question is whether this is a desired outcome for the rest of the world". I believe they would want Turkey and ...
Senol
Iranian grand leader warmed Erdogan to change course,on syria,Erdogan did not listen,now Iranian threats have turned true as Iran wages a proxy war on Turkey useing terroists to carry out they mission.Even if Assad stays or leaves Turkey has two or three enemies on its borders who will use terroists...
ilker
Not a very strong analysis of the situation and ignores so many political norms and protocols. 1- why do think it is Turkey's business to interfere in another country's affairs by sending Ahmet Davutoğlu to Syria suggesting general elections? that is outragous and blatant interference in another cou...
Mardonius Gobryas
Very Good Analysis indeed! I thought exactly the same but over year ago. The west are threatening to strike Iran for the last 10yrs is but a deception because for them Iran is better to to preserved and a card to be played against turkey and possible Egypt in near future. I hope Turkey realises th...
mehmet
'not need the help and support of Israel and the US' why should Turkey need any military help and support Iran clearly doesn't. And there is this which you also neglect. The government most hated by the high command of the Turkish army is not the government of Syria but the government of Turkey. A b...
Babeouf
blah blah blah blah....wow...do it over again and stop blaming others...
Johan
This phrase made me think really deep: "I wish a prime minister of this country had tended to the creation of a national defense industry five decades ago. That way, we would not need the help and support of Israel and the US in the field of defense and in the fight against terrorism."
v
Maybe the best article I have ever read on todayszaman. many phrases deserve to be engraved in gold.
v
The Turkic Harry Potter, fail to name the new age Edrisi Bitlisi:) or I was not clever enough to read between the lines. But what is the realities of the past 32 years, is an indication of a deep state relationship between US, Israel and Iran, no matter how many people want to label it "Unholy All...
zahra Niknafs
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